Ambetter Health 400 Odds, Tips & Predictions 2023

NASCAR Cup Series driver William Byron poses after winning a race

March 12, 2023; Avondale, Arizona, United States; NASCAR Cup Series driver William Byron (24) looks at his trophy after winning the United Rentals Work United 500 March 12, 2023 at Phoenix Raceway in Avondale. Mandatory Credit: Alex Gould/The Republic Nascar Cup Race

  • The NASCAR season heads to Atlanta for the Ambetter Health 400, scheduled for Sunday, March 19, 2023
  • Competing favorites include Kyle Busch, Kyle Larson, Martin Truex Jr. and Ryan Blaney
  • Below are the Ambetter Health 400 betting odds and tips ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race

NASCAR heads to Hampton, Georgia (just outside of Atlanta) for the fifth race of the 2023 season. Atlanta Motor Speedway is a 1.54 mile, low grade, tri-oval intermediate track. The race distance is 400 miles (260 laps). What madness can happen to the drivers this weekend?

This weekend’s race comes a week after the United Rentals Work United 500, which saw William Byron win again, beating Tyler Reddick and Ryan Blaney.

The table below lists the entire list of NASCAR Cup Series odds for the Ambetter Health 400 (win, podium finish, and top ten finish). Below the chart are the Ambetter Health 400 predictions and best bets for this weekend’s NASCAR action.

Ambetter health 400 chances

driver odds podium chances Top Ten Odds
William Byron +900 +280 -148
Kyle Bush +1000 +300 -134
Ryan Blaney +1200 +375 -112
Kyle Larson +1200 +375 -112
Ross Chastain +1200 +375 -112
Denny Hamlin +1200 +375 -112
Joey Logano +1300 +400 -104
Christopher Bell +1400 +425 +105
Alex Bowman +1800 +550 +130
Brad Keselowski +1800 +550 +130
Tyler Reddick +2000 +600 +140
Bubba Wallace +2000 +600 +140
Chris Buescher +2500 +750 +150
Kevin Harvick +2500 +750 +150
Daniel Suarez +2500 +750 +150
Martin Truex Jr. +2500 +750 +150
Aric Almirola +3000 +900 +160
Austin Cinderic +3000 +900 +160
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +3300 +1000 +170
Eric Jones +3500 +1000 +175
Josh Berry +4000 +1100 +190

William Byron goes into this race as the +900 favorite followed by Kyle Busch (+1000) and four riders at +1200. It was at this track that Chevy, particularly Hendrick, asserted some dominance. William Byron fended off Ross Chastain and Kurt Busch. Will Bubba Wallace and Josh Berry benefit from driving cars that placed in the top ten last year? Those are just a few questions.

NASCAR drivers will fire up their engines on the 1.54-mile 60-100-100 stage lap setup as the flag drops for Sunday afternoon’s race, which begins just after 3:00 p.m. ET on FOX.

Odds as of March 15th at Barstool Sportsbook.

William Byron is the best choice for Sunday, but…

Now there is a distinct dilemma when betting at Atlanta Motor Speedway. For one thing, it’s a moderately difficult track that behaves more like a square superspeedway. Last year was the first year with a narrower track and steeper corners. With 46 lead changes in 20 drivers, betting was a bit more challenging. Byron was able to win more late on due to Chevy dominance. Five of the first six cars were Chevys.

So the DraftKings sports betting odds fluctuated very slightly, but nothing out of the ordinary. Kyle Larson tends to lead a few laps here and is listed alongside Byron as a co-favorite (+900). Josh Berry’s odds are better on the site at +5000 for a win and +700 for a top 5. His top ten (+200) is more intriguing since Chase Elliott drove this car sixth last year.

Ambetter Health 400 Current Winners

Year race winner pole position Most laps passed
2022 William Byron – Hendrick Motorsports Racing Chase Briscoe – Stewart-Haas Racing William Byron – Hendrick Motorsports Racing
2021 Ryan Blaney-Team Penske Denny Hamlin-Joe Gibbs Racing Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Racing
2020 Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing Chase Elliott-Hendrick Motorsports Racing Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing
2019 Brad Keselowski—Team Penske Aric Almirola – Stewart-Haas Racing Kyle Larson-Chip Ganassi Racing
2018 Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing Kyle Busch—Joe Gibbs Racing Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing

Another NASCAR Futures update

Sportsbooks see Kyle Busch as a favorite after a month on NASCAR at around +675. However, NASCAR Cup Series odds are still in their infancy. Elliott still remains in the top five at +1000 for now. William Byron’s back-to-back wins put him at +800, right alongside teammate Kyle Larson. Two-time champion Joey Logano is now just a whisker behind at +1050.

Atlanta offers a different picture compared to Las Vegas and Phoenix. Chevy might have an even better car this week, but the Ryan Blaney Ford is always one to keep an eye on. He won this race in 2021. This race remains one of the fastest on track this decade.

Qualifying just this week in Atlanta could make things a little more interesting. Since it takes place around noon on Saturday, the numbers might spread out a bit later in the day.

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Ambetter Health 400 predictions and tips

Yes, partly sunny conditions with cooler temperatures and a low chance of rain are likely this weekend.

Qualifying well helps but is not automatic to win in Atlanta, unlike say Phoenix.

Could a rider like Josh Berry or even Corey Lajoie cause an upset? Lajoie was fourth here last year and ended up having one of the fastest cars.

The order of finish seems to dictate Chevy-Blaney-Toyota-Ford. Will that work out on Sunday at such a volatile track? Here, too, heaps of round chances and double-digit warning potential could disturb a lot of betting cards.

Here are our best bets:

  • Top pick: Alex Bowman wins (+1800)
  • Other contenders: Ryan Blaney (+1200), William Byron (+900), Kyle Larson (+1200)
  • Longshots: Bubba Wallace (+2000), Josh Berry (+5000), Daniel Suarez (+2500)
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Chris Wassel

sports journalist

sports journalist

NCAAF Ambetter Health 400 Odds, Tips & Predictions 2023

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