Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Odds & Predictions

Carlos Alcaraz of Spain celebrates winning his quarterfinal match against Felix Auger-Aliassime of Canada at the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden in Indian Wells, Calif. Thursday March 16, 2023.
- The last match between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner at the last US Open was an epic fight
- Alcaraz is the slight favorite in the Indian Wells semifinals, scheduled for Saturday (9:00 p.m. EDT).
- Read on as we break down our Alcaraz vs. Sinner prediction between two of the brightest young stars in men’s tennis
The last time Carlos Alcaraz faced Jannik Sinner, it went over five sets, lasted five hours and 15 minutes and ended at 2:50 a.m. – the latest finish in US Open history. And it was just the quarterfinals; Alcaraz went on to win the whole thing. Will there be another long match in the prediction between Alcaraz and Sinner on Saturday? Find out here.
Alcaraz vs. Sinner Odds
player | spread | money line | In total |
---|---|---|---|
[1] Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) | -2.5 (-112) | -172 | O22.5 (-122) |
[11] Jannik Sinner (ITA) | +2.5 (-118) | +140 | U 22.5 (-110) |
There is a lot of anticipation for the fifth edition of Alcaraz vs Sinner. Alcaraz is the -173 favorite in the Indian Wells odds above. It has a spread of -2.5 and the match total is fixed at 22.5 games.
Alcaraz vs. Sinner Odds from March 17th at FanDuel.
The winner will play the winner of Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe’s picks in the other semifinal.
Alcaraz in search of No. 1
With Novak Djokovic missing Indian Wells again because his unvaccinated status doesn’t allow him to enter the United States, Alcaraz can reclaim top spot in the ATP Tour rankings if he wins Indian Wells.
He’s already defended a semi-final result in the desert so that tells you how he’s hovering for the top spot despite missing the Australian Open. He won Miami a year ago so first place will likely be at stake again as anything but a title defense would see Alcaraz fall again.
Alcaraz vs. Sinner Head to Head
19 (5 May 2003) | Old | 21 (16 Aug 2001) |
El Palmar, Spain | Place of birth | San Candido, Italy |
6-0 | Height | 6-2 |
7 | Career ATP singles title | 7 |
No. 1 (09/12/2022) | Career Best Ranking | No. 14 (02/06/2023) |
No. 2 | Current ranking | #13 |
$12,127,587 | career prize money | $7,171,187 |
12-1 | Win/Loss Record 2022 | 16-3 |
2 | ATP head to head wins | 2 |
Alcaraz’s win over Félix Auger-Aliassime in Thursday night’s quarter-finals was a wake-up call for the Canadian – and, he said, for the rest of the Tour as well. They all have to improve in all areas because facing a fresh, healthy Alcaraz is a big, big challenge.
Auger-Aliassime came into play with a 3-0 record against the Spaniard but he had never played against Alcaraz and it was all he could do even in a 6-4, 6-4 defeat by staying close to the Canadians wasn’t bad at all.
Alcaraz is that good. Which is no secret to anyone.
Alcaraz vs Sinner Gameplay
Year | competition | surface | score | winner |
---|---|---|---|---|
2022 | US Open (QF) | outdoors hard | 6:3, 6:7 (7), 6:7 (0), 7:5, 6:3 | Alcaraz |
2022 | Umag (F) | sound outdoors | 6-7(5), 6-1, 6-1 | sinner |
2022 | Wimbledon (R16) | grass | 6-1, 6-4, 6-7(8), 6-3 | sinner |
2021 | Paris Masters (R32) | indoor hard | 7-6(1), 7-5 | Alcaraz |
2019 | Alicante Challenger (R64) | sound outdoors | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 | Alcaraz |
Final encounter with an epic marathon
There are games that are remembered for a long time. And Alcaraz vs. Sinner at the US Open is one of them.
The speed these two showed well into the sixth hour was so mind-blowing it was like watching a game of ping-pong fast-forward.
The surface at Indian Wells is notoriously much slower. But that won’t slow down their foot speed at all.
When asked Thursday night, Alcaraz said he thinks he’s faster. But this sinner hit the ball harder.
The Spaniard showed no weaknesses on the Indian Wells court; If Sinner’s victory over defending champion Taylor Fritz came as a surprise to some, Alcaraz will be an even more daunting challenge.
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Alcaraz vs. sinner prediction
Sinner is playing well enough that the Italian can take advantage, following the theory that Alcaraz will slump a bit.
Alcaraz hasn’t played much tennis this season either. And despite the stretched 12-day schedule, it’s his first hard court of the season and it’s tough on the body on the slow court.
Sinner’s ball shot is good – no, he’s great. And it’s enough to leave Alcaraz a little more defensive than he’d like. And it might also give him less time to be as aggressive as he wants.
That momentum on the faster US Open hard court was very strong in play. Because of this, this is expected to be another marathon in our Alcaraz vs. Sinner prediction.
Over 25.5 total games have odds of +122.
Alcaraz vs. Sinner Picks: Alcaraz wins the match; Both players win a set (+260)
Stephanie Myles
sports journalist
Stephanie gets the pure dope from the tennis insiders. She has represented her country internationally in court. A BA in journalism led to years in the MLB beat and a decade on tennis worldwide. She writes for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also edits OpenCourt.ca.
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