Duke vs. Virginia Tips, Odds & Spread for the ACC Championship Game
March 10, 2023; Greensboro, NC, USA; Duke Blue Devils center Kyle Filipowski (30) reacts during the second half in the semifinals of the ACC Tournament at the Greensboro Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
- The Duke Blue Devils are 2-point favorites over Virginia in the finals of the ACC Championship on Saturday, March 11
- Virginia cruised in their semifinals while the Blue Devils won by seven points over Miami
- Below are Duke v Virginia odds and tips for Saturday’s game, which is scheduled for 8:30pm ET
On Saturday night, the fourth-placed Duke Blue Devils (25-8) will take on the #2 Virginia Cavaliers (25-6) for the ACC Championship title. Read on for a Duke vs. Virginia analysis.
Duke was hot at the right time, winning eight contests in a row. In their only duel this season, the Cavaliers won 69-62 in overtime a month ago. On Friday, Duke sent Miami for first place 85-78 while Virginia defeated third-placed Clemson 76-56.
Oddsmakers expect this to be a close one, with Duke a skinny 2-point favorite as they seek their first ACC title since 2019.
Duke vs Virginia Odds
| playing time (ET) | team | spread | money line | In total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday March 11th | duke | -2 (-110) | -130 | O 123 (-110) |
| 8:30 p.m | Virginia | +2 (-110) | +110 | U 123 (-110) |
Duke is set to be No. 7 in the West region while Virginia is ninth in the East for the planned March Madness bracket. Both teams are +5000 long shots in the March Madness odds.
Odds as of March 11th at DraftKings Sportsbook.
The start of this duel is scheduled for Saturday, March 11 at 8:30 p.m. ET at the Greensboro Coliseum in North Carolina. The game will be broadcast by ESPN. The Blue Devils are considered the -130 favorite to win their conference tournament finals against the Cavaliers.
Duke Blue Devils betting analysis
The Duke Blue Devils have been firing on all cylinders in their last eight games, winning by averaging 12.8 points. On Friday night, they held a slim lead for most of the second half before ending the game late. Kyle Filipowski led the team with 17 points, but a balanced score was key to their victory. The top four scorers on Duke were freshmen.
PLAY FOR THE CHIP TOMORROW #DukeDub #ACCMBB 😈 👊 pic.twitter.com/yVOPEn7vPx
— Duke Men’s Basketball (@DukeMBB) March 11, 2023
They benefited as Miami power forward Norchad Omier lost after just over a minute with an ankle injury. In Duke’s last two games, they’ve scored more points than in their previous ten games (season-high 96 vs Pittsburgh) and 85 vs Miami. Nine of the Blue Devils’ last ten contests have resulted in them exceeding the listed 123 total for this matchup, including their 69-62 OT loss to Virginia on Feb. 11.
Virginia Cavaliers betting analysis
The Virginia Cavaliers barely worked a sweat against Clemson to advance to the finals. They won by a 20-point margin, which was their widest margin in a game since late December. Jayden Gardner had game bests with 23 points and 12 rebounds. They have won their last two games without the services of Ben Vander Plas, who sustained a broken hand at the end of the season last Saturday.
The final moments!
🔶⚔️🔷#GoHoos pic.twitter.com/HgvBxxt7vb
— Virginia Cavaliers (@VirginiaSports) March 11, 2023
In her previous fight, Virginia won in OT by shooting 52% as a team, which was far better than Duke’s 45% clip. However, these two teams are very close as they have both played four games each in their last eight meetings dating back to 2018. Despite being the higher-seeded team, Virginia still finds itself an underdog in this game. Her last ACC title came in 2018, a year before Duke’s last.
2023 March Madness Odds: NCAA Men’s Tournament Tracker
Duke vs Virginia Prediction
Duke has been pushing hard, winning eight straight games while their opponents have their own four-game streak. Their most recent loss was to the Cavaliers, although that game drew controversy when the umpire admitted after the game that Kyle Filipowski should have gone to the free-throw line at the end of regulation, where the Blue Devils might have won.
The Blue Devils have racked up a ton of points in recent affairs, and Virginia did the same against Clemson. Exceeding the 123 total is the smart play, with Duke squeaking out a win as redemption.
Tip: Duke Moneyline (-130), over 123 points (-110)
Michael Harrison
Sports and entertainment writer
Michael “Hound Dog” Harrison is best known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC on the Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 16 years where he has appeared on Sportscentre, That’s Hockey, That’s Hockey 2Nite, The Masters Preview Shows and more.
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