Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka Odds & Prediction

Arina Sabalenka

March 17, 2023; Indian Wells, California, United States; Aryna Sabalenka smiles at the crowd after defeating Maria Sakkari (GRE) in the semifinals of the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

  • Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka clash in the Indian Wells final (Sunday, 4 p.m. EDT)
  • It is their first meeting since the Australian Open; Sabalenka leads their neck-and-neck race 4-0
  • Both are in top form at this tournament. Who will win? We break it down and make a prediction

Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka, two of the best servers and toughest hitters on the WTA Tour, will clash in the Indian Wells final on Sunday, as they did in the Australian Open final almost two months ago. Read on for an analysis of Rybakina vs. Sabalenka.

Rybakina vs Sabalenka

player spread money line In total
[10] Elena Rybakina (KAZ) +2.5 (-114) +136 O22.5 (-110)
[2] Arina Sabalenka (BLR) -2.5 (-114) -164 U 22.5 (-122)

With odds of -275, Sabalenka is the favorite in Rybakina vs. Sabalenka on Sunday afternoon (4 p.m. EDT). Sakkari is the underdog at +220 odds. Odds as of March 18th at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Rybakina disassembles Swiatek

Rybakina took care of Iga Swiatek in the round of 16 at the Australian Open this year with 6: 4, 6: 4. So a surprise was definitely possible.

But it was hard to predict that the 23-year-old Russian-born Kazakh would give the world No. 1 so much uproar.

It was competitive – at the very beginning. After that, Rybakina did such an effective, aggressive job on return service – even on Swiatek’s first serve, which didn’t have the usual speed – that it wasn’t a contest.

Swiatek wrestled with… something this week. She’s still blowing her nose during transitions that first began when she contracted a virus in the Middle East. And it took her four hours to get to her press conference after her quarterfinal win, citing “personal issues to take care of.” Turns out it’s a problem with her rib, which could explain the slower speed on the first serve.

Rybakina vs. Sabalenka head-to-head

23 (June 17, 1999) Old 24 (May 5, 1998)
Moscow, Russia Place of birth Minsk, Belarus
6-0 Height 5-11
3 Career WTA singles title 12
No. 10 (01/30/2023) Career Best Ranking No. 2 (08/23/2021)
#10 Current ranking No. 2
$7,606,187 career prize money $14,446,131
15-4 Win/Loss Record 2022 18-1
0 Head to head wins 4

Sabalenka sits down Sakkari

In the earlier semi-final on Friday, Sabalenka dealt a similar blow to Sakkari. It was a match that was delayed by more than half an hour because… the audio on the referee’s chair and for the Hawkeye Live system was not working.

There were even “emergency” referees willing to take over if necessary.

In the end things were settled. But Sabalenka just choked Sakkari – so aggressively on the second serve that it put tremendous pressure on both the Greek star’s first and second serves.

Rybakina did the same in the nightcap against Swiatek.

Rybakina vs Sabalenka Match History

Year competition surface score winner
2023 Australian Open (F) outdoors hard 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 Sabalenka
2021 Wimbledon (R16) grass 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 Sabalenka
2021 Abu Dhabi (QF) outdoors hard 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 Sabalenka
2019 Wuhan (QF) outdoors hard 6-3, 1-6, 6-1 Sabalenka

Big edge for Sabalenka in the head-to-head

All four games between these two went the distance. And only at the youngest in Melbourne in January did Sabalenka fail to win the first set.

Ultimately, given what we saw on Friday, it could come down to which player defends her second serve better.

On paper, Sabalenka has a better, more effective second serve. At the same time, her troubles with 2022’s serve are never too far in the rear-view mirror and if Rybakina can apply enough pressure on that second serve, she could manage to crack it on this very big occasion.

That’s a big request. But she is perfectly capable of it.

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Rybakina vs Sabalenka prediction

This game is shaping up to be a perfectly even encounter, even if Sabalenka is a slight favourite.

Before she won her first Grand Slam title, we might have categorized Sabalenka as a slight underdog. But after that she plays like a great champion.

And Rybakina is already a great champion.

Picking Sabalenka in three sets (+270). But it could go either way, and her story suggests it’s going to be a long one.

Rybakina vs. Sabalenka Tips: Both players win a set (+114)

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Stephanie Myles

sports journalist

sports journalist


https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/tennis/elena-rybakina-vs-aryna-sabalenka-odds-prediction-indian-wells-womens-singles-final/ Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka Odds & Prediction


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