Final Four Odds – See odds for each team in the March madness to reach the 2023 Final Four

Brandon Miller named SEC Tournament MVP

Alabama forward Brandon Miller (24) receives the tournament’s MVP trophy from SEC Commissioner Greg Sankey after winning at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee on Sunday, March 12, 2023 at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tenn , in Nashville, Tennessee, won the SEC Men’s Basketball Tournament game against Texas A&M. SEC Basketball Alabama vs Texas AM

  • The Alabama Crimson Tide are the top overall winners in the NCAA tournament and favor victory in the South Region
  • Kansas is the only top seed not favored to win its region, with UCLA favored in the west
  • Read below for every team’s odds in the NCAA tournament to win their region and our best bets

The dance partners have been chosen and the March Madness bracket is now set.

Selection Sunday took in the 36 free applications to form the 68-team field along with the automatic berths of the conference tournament champions.

The top overall winner is the Alabama Crimson Tide, although their odds of winning the NCAA tournament are eclipsed by the Houston Cougars, who check in at +550 odds, a 15.38% implied probability that nets in to fell Houston.

Let’s run through the odds for each team by region and who we think could reach the Final Four.

Odds Region South

team (seeds) opportunities
Germany (1) +180
Arizona (2) +360
Bayer (3) +600
State of San Diego (5) +650
Creighton (6) +850
State of Utah (10) +1300
Virginia (9) +1800
Virginia (4) +2000
Maryland (8) +3500
Missouri (7) +7500
Fürmann (13) +10000
NC state (11) +14000
Charleston (12) +15000
UC Santa Barbara (14) +25000
Princeton (15) +50000
Texas A&M – CC / SE State of Missouri (16) +100000 / +100000

Odds as of March 12th at DraftKings

Analysis of the NCAA South Region

The season of the Crimson Tide was not derailed by a fatal January 15 shooting involving newcomer star Brandon Miller. With no criminal charges, Alabama gets into the basketball business.

The SEC regular season and tournament champions rank third overall in KenPom and sixth overall in scoring with 82.8 points per game. Two very good top seeds could challenge her.

The two-man Arizona Wildcats (+360) claimed the Pac-12 tournament title for the second straight year, beating the UCLA Bruins. The Wildcats rank 10th overall in KenPom and fourth in offensive efficiency. The Strengths would clash in a regional final with the Crimson Tide, who rank third overall in defensive efficiency.

The Baylor Bears (+600) were dismissed in the Quarterfinals of the Big 12, but they’re battle hardened. Possessing the third best strength on the schedule according to KenPom, they can go toe-to-toe with any of the heavyweights.

One team that gets a lot of respect when betting is the Utah State Aggies, seeded 10th but winning the South by +1300 odds. That’s what happens when you’re a top-30 team in scoring (79.1 points) and you’re one of four schools that shoot more than 40% from three-point range in the year.

Choice: Alabama (+180)

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Odds of winning Region East

team (seeds) opportunities
Purdue (1) +180
Marquette (2) +350
Tennessee (4) +400
State of Kansas (3) +700
duke (5) +1200
Kentucky (6) +1500
State of Michigan (7) +2200
Memphis (8) +2800
Florida Atlantic (9) +3500
USC (10) +4000
Providence (11) +6000
Oral Roberts (12) +6500
Louisiana (13) +10000
Vermont (15) +25000
State of Montana (14) +40000
Texas Southern / Farleigh Dickinson (16) +50000 / +50000

Analysis of the NCAA East region

It’s been a great season for Purdue, and they have the runaway winner at the 2023 Wooden Awards odds for the nation’s best player in Zach Edey.

However, history is not on their side. As no. Seeded 1, the Boilermakers have yet to make the Final Four in their school history, with a trip to the Elite Eight being the furthest they have come.

Duke (+1200) is fresh from an ACC championship, but they’ll have a tough time in the opener with Oral Roberts, a team that can absolutely fill it in as the nation’s third-highest team at 84.2 points per point.

Marquette (+350) sped through the Big East, averaging a 28-6 record overall. Their strength lies in scoring with an average of 81 points per game (14th).

Don’t sleep on fourth-seeded Tennessee, who may have tied fourth in the SEC but holds fifth overall at KenPom, driven by a defensive efficiency score that ranks only behind UCLA and allows for 57.5 points per game (3rd place). ).

Choice: Tennessee (+400)

Odds Midwest Region

team (seeds) opportunities
Houston (1) +150
Texas (2) +300
Xavier (3) +700
Indiana (4) +1200
State of Iowa (6) +1000
Miami (5) +1400
Maroon (9) +1500
Texas A&M (7) +1800
Iowa (8) +2800
Pennsylvania (10) +3500
Drake (12) +4500
State of Kent (13) +5000
State of Mississippi / Pittsburgh (11) +6000 / +6000
State of Kennesaw (14) +20000
Colgate (15) +25000
Northern Kentucky (16) +50000

Analysis of the NCAA Midwest region

Even though Houston is dropping the American Athletic Tournament title game to Memphis, it will be a burden when you review their games in college basketball odds.

The top-rated team in KenPom brings the second-best scoring defense to the table, giving up just 56.5 points per game. They also accumulated 76 points per game (77th) and ranked 49th in KenPom’s offensive efficiency mark.

Can the Longhorns keep up? They beat Kansas in both the Big 12 regular season finals and the conference tournament. It’s a tricky match in the opening round against the 15-man Colgate, who is without light from long range and leads the NCAA in 3-point shooting at 40.9%.

One player to watch is Indiana’s Trayce Jackson-Davis, who averaged 20.5 points and 11 rebounds per game for fourth-place Indiana (+1200).

Another dark horse lurking is Xavier, who has the ninth-best offensive efficiency rating at KenPom. They finished second in the Big East and held signature conference wins over UConn, Creighton and Marquette.

Choice: Houston (+150)

Odds Region West

team (seeds) opportunities
UCLA (2) +275
Kansas (1) +400
UConn (4) +400
Gonzaga (3) +425
Saint Mary (5) +1200
Arkansas (8) +1400
control unit (6) +1800
State of Boise (10) +2200
Northwest (7) +4000
Illinois (9) +4000
VCU (12) +5000
Arizona Street / Nevada (11) +7000 / +6000
Jonas (13) +7000
Grand Canyon (14) +10000
Howard (16) +30000
UNZ Asheville (15) +40000

Analysis of the NCAA Region West

Was it just a bad matchup, or was Kansas just ready for the NCAA tournament long before everyone else? The Jayhawks were beaten by the Texas Longhorns by 20 in the finals of the Big 12 tournament despite knowing they were stuck with a top seed for quite some time.

The Jayhawks have the lowest KenPom rating of any top seed, although they still rank in the top 10 overall. They’re the only 1 seed not favored for winning their region, but that’s more a by-product of the level of competition in the West than anything else.

UCLA (+275) is the West’s betting favorite and the second-highest scoring team in the NCAAs, according to KenPom. They are fueled by the nation’s best defensive efficiency, allowing 60.1 points per game (6th) and keeping teams at an effective field goal mark of 46.8% (27th).

And just below the Bruins are the third-seeded Gonzaga Bulldogs (+425), who rank eighth overall in KenPom and have the best offensive efficiency in college hoops due to the strength of the highest-rated offense in the NCAA at 87.5 points per Game.

If you have a dark horse to watch out for, beware the 12-seed VCU Rams, who won the A10 tournament and are entering March Madness after winning nine straight. That could spell bad news for St Mary’s Gaels in Round 1 in a battle of defensive clubs. St. Mary’s is ninth on KenPom’s defensive efficiency metric while VCU is 17th.

Choice: UCLA (+275) Final Four Odds – See odds for each team in the March madness to reach the 2023 Final Four

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