Kari Lake may not be Arizona’s next governor, but that doesn’t mean her political career is over. Far from it, actually, if a new poll is any indication.
Even as Lake continues her court battle over November’s gubernatorial election, an early poll examining what might happen in Arizona’s contentious 2024 Senate campaign found Lake coming first in a likely three-sided race.
According to the survey of Blueprint Surveyreleased Wednesday, Lake leads by 4 points ahead of Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego and by 22 points ahead of incumbent Senator Kyrsten Sinema, who is now an independent.
While Arizona generally tends to be conservative, the GOP has lost three straight Senate contests. Martha McSally was beaten by Sinema and Sen. Mark Kelly in a 2020 special election in 2018 for the late Senator John McCain’s seat. Kelly won a full term in November by defeating political newcomer Blake Masters.
Both Kelly and Sinema proposed a route to victory by calling themselves independent moderates. It also didn’t help that neither McSally nor Masters, while both credible and capable Conservatives, seemed to be gaining traction with voters.
Corrupt 5 year old video of Biden surfaces following Bombshell Classified Documents story
However, it’s the whole “independent moderate” thing that made the 2024 Arizona race one of the most interesting in the nation. While Kelly’s party is independent mostly an invention Of his henchmen, Sinema appears to have taken her own rhetoric seriously — and Democrats are thoroughly unhappy about that.
Sinema’s refusal to abolish the filibuster doomed a law that would have reshaped America’s electoral laws to undermine election security and put the federal government’s thumb on the scales of democracy to favor the left. Although pro-abortion, she also refused to quash the 60-vote supermajority when it came to Roe v. Wade to codify at the national level as well.
At the end of last year, Sinema announced that he would leave the Democrats and become independent. Luckily, while the move more accurately reflects her political views, it also allows her to avoid primary competition with Gallego, a far more liberal politician whom Arizona’s left-wing activist base has been urging to challenge them.
The split Democratic vote is a prime opportunity for Lake — a former Phoenix TV station news anchor who, despite being declared a loser in the 2022 gubernatorial election, was one of the few breakout GOP stars of the last election cycle.
Should Kari Lake run for Senate?
Yes: 0% (0 votes)
No: 0% (0 votes)
And as Blueprint Polling found on Wednesday press release“Sinema sits a distant third in a hypothetical three-way race in the general that also includes 2022 GOP gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake and Democratic Congressman Ruben Gallego.”
“Kari Lake is at 36% in a three-way Senate race with Gallego and Sinema. Congressman follows closely at 32%, while the incumbent pollster is less than 14%. One in six voters is undecided,” the press release said.
“Sinema has the support of both Republicans and Democrats — she gets the votes of 15% of Biden 2020 voters and 11% of Trump 2020 voters. 23% of Biden voters remain undecided in the race (compared to 13% of Trump voters), suggesting some Democrats may wait to see how the race plays out before endorsing a candidate.
“Nevertheless, Sinema’s best hope for a return to the US Senate may lie with the Republican Party [sic] to nominate a candidate so flawed that moderate and conservative voters would desert that person for Sinema Independent.”
AZ Senate Election 2024: @blueprintpoll
Kari Lake (R): 36%
Ruben Gallego (D): 32%
Kyrsten Sinema (I): 14%
— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) January 11, 2023
The poll, conducted between Jan. 5 and Jan. 8 of 618 Arizona voters using a combination of phone calls and text messages to cell phone numbers, has an error rate of 3.9 percent.
Granted, it’s early days, at least as far as a Senate race in 2024 goes.
lake is still challenging the results of the 2022 gubernatorial campaign, arguing that the chaos and glitches that plagued in-person voting in Maricopa County on Election Day cost her the election. In this context, Sinema could look at the election tea leaves and realize her electoral downfall is essentially assured and withdraw from the contest entirely.
However, Gallego is hardly independent or temperate and wouldn’t even bother to pretend to be. That’s a problem for a Democrat hoping to win a statewide election in Arizona.
As for Lake, she’s already ran for statewide office — and experience makes a big difference when it comes to wooing voters from more than a friendly congressional district.
Despite being reviled by the media at every turn as a novice, a demagogue and a “denier” – the latter being the most heinous thing a Republican can be called by the media in 2023, at least that can be published without using obscenity-mitigating asterisks – she would have won on election day by a hair’s breadth.
How that will play out in court remains to be seen, but the fact remains that if Arizona’s most populous county had accomplished its feats in the in-person vote, it is believed to have triumphed,
In other words, her future is very bright indeed – if, of course, she decides to run for the upper chamber.
With current Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs facing a job fighting a Republican-led legislature that’s already digging into the opposition, her former opponent could be busy writing the script for “Mrs. Lake is going to Washington.”
Let’s all hope for a happy ending.
https://www.westernjournal.com/kari-lake-run-us-senate-new-poll-delivers-incredibly-good-news/ Kari Lake running for US Senate? New poll delivers incredibly good news