Utah State vs. Missouri Odds & Predictions
March 1, 2023; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Utah State Aggies guard Sean Bairstow (2) reacts with the bench to a 3-point shot against the UNLV Rebels in the second half at the Thomas & Mack Center. Mandatory Credit: Candice Ward-USA TODAY Sports
- No. 7 Missouri meets No. 10 Utah State in the round of 16 on Thursday
- The Aggies are a slim 1.5 point favorite
- Read on for the Missouri vs. Utah State odds and predictions
Thursday afternoon brings an intriguing duel in the South region at March Madness as No. 7 Missouri (24-9, 16-16-1 ATS) in the Golden takes on Mountain West standouts, No. 10 Utah State (26-8, Aug -12 ATS) competes 1 center in Sacramento. The pick for this round one meeting is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET.
The Tigers put on an impressive run in the SEC tournament and eventually lost in the semifinals to a very good team from Alabama. Considering they went 12-21 last season, Mizzou has a lot to be proud of. The Aggies meanwhile reached the finals of the Mountain West Tournament and fell to San Diego State.
Utah State vs Missouri Odds
| team | spread | money line | In total |
|---|---|---|---|
| State of Utah | -1.5 (-110) | -125 | Over 155 (-110) |
| Missouri | +1.5 (-110) | +105 | Un 155 (-110) |
Utah State is 1.5 points and has a -125 moneyline odds. They have completed 63.6% of their games this season. Missouri comes back at +105 and fell 6-7 as an ATS underdog.
Odds as of March 14th at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Aggies could be Dark Horse
Utah State truly had an impressive season and was by far the second best program in the MWC. The Aggies won seven in a row before losing 62-57 in Saturday’s title game to the Aztecs, a team they couldn’t beat all season.
However, Ryan Odom’s team excels in numerous offensive categories, ranking 31st nationally in PPG, fifth in three-point percentage (39.4), ninth in assists and fourth in true shooting percentage (60.4). If you need more proof, the state of Utah ranks 18th in the country in the kenpom rankings.
Utah State DANCE! 🕺#MarchMadness @USUBasketball pic.twitter.com/SX3spJBD0e
— NCAA March Madness (@MarchMadnessMBB) March 12, 2023
The Aggies are led by guard Steven Ashworth, who is averaging 16.3 points, 4.5 assists and 3.2 rebounds a night while shooting an incredible 44% from deep. Four more also score in double digits. When you consider this conference has four teams in the NCAA tournament, it shows how solid the state of Utah is. Getting hot from long range is dangerous for the Tigers, who allow opponents to shoot 35.7% from three-point territory.
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Quite the turning point for Missouri
Getting out of the SEC is never easy, but Missouri did it, making its first big dance appearance since 2021. In fact, they have failed to make it past the first round in six previous games in March since 2011.
That being said, the Tigers finished fourth in the SEC in 2022-23, going 11-7 in conference action and 24-9 overall. Dennis Gates’ group defeated Tennessee in the SEC Quarterfinals before Alabama eliminated them. But Mizzou has done enough to earn a #7 spot in the March Madness bracket.
Missouri DANCE! 🕺#MarchMadness @MizzouHoops pic.twitter.com/Z7dRDD5Nxr
— NCAA March Madness (@MarchMadnessMBB) March 12, 2023
This is also a team that has no trouble hitting the rock, ranking 23rd in the NCAA with 79.5 PPG and 19th in offensive standings. Averaging 15.9 points, 6.3 boards and 2.5 cents, Kobe Brown is a big reason for their success. He also uses up 44.7% of his triples. Senior guard D’Moi Hodge, meanwhile, is ready to go out with a bang and also dropped 14.8 points a night on 40% three-point shooting.
Utah State vs Missouri Prediction
You have two explosive offenses here that could end up being a very entertaining competition. The Aggies have not made it past the opening round since 2001, while it has been over a decade since the Tigers advanced to the Round of 32. Personally, however, I like Utah State. They’re red hot, while Mizzou struggles defensively at times and has three players listed in top March Madness injuries.
Choice: State of Utah -1.5 (-110)
More previews of March Madness round one:
Quinn Allen
sports journalist
Quinn Allen is a sportswriter with a background and training in broadcast journalism (BCIT ’17). By day, he’s the full-time editor at ClutchPoints, where he writes about soccer, baseball, basketball, football and more. At night, Quinn is a frequent contributor to SBD.
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