Who will win, who should win?

Best Original Screenplay

Should win: Liquorice Pizza, Paul Thomas Anderson

Will win: Belfast, Kenneth Branagh

Branagh’s absence from the director category – hey, it’s the jury’s fault – could well tip the scales in his favor here.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Should win: Drive my car, Ryusuke Hamaguchi and Takamasa Oe

Will win: The Prodigal Daughter, Maggie Gyllenhaal

Against some truly fierce competition (and, ahem, CODA), Gyllenhaal’s brilliantly intelligent adaptation of Elena Ferrante’s novella feels like it has the edge.

Best Animated Film

Should and will win: The Mitchells against the machines

Bafta has an interesting track record in this category, slipping back and forth between Disney and Pixar productions to support a deserved third option, and Netflix’s hugely entertaining family adventure certainly is that.